Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.364342 0.394561 0.427111 0.464951 0.507949 0.555549 0.612592
2025-01-05 0.298693 0.340826 0.389959 0.452311 0.530557 0.627234 0.758607
2025-01-12 0.251654 0.297630 0.354317 0.431051 0.535055 0.675738 0.889455
2025-01-19 0.219158 0.266056 0.326316 0.412030 0.535589 0.715941 1.018701
2025-01-26 0.203829 0.253616 0.320166 0.419566 0.572172 0.813842 1.268531
2025-02-02 0.196048 0.249743 0.324320 0.441277 0.632955 0.964676 1.677975
2025-02-09 0.184228 0.238745 0.316632 0.443374 0.661985 1.068886 2.053358
2025-02-16 0.171435 0.225016 0.303205 0.434083 0.669073 1.133223 2.377506
2025-02-23 0.162441 0.215942 0.295699 0.433121 0.690473 1.232679 2.869678
2025-03-02 0.153042 0.205471 0.284945 0.425066 0.696605 1.300590 3.329346
2025-03-09 0.144592 0.195798 0.274559 0.416271 0.699487 1.361948 3.833891
2025-03-16 0.137248 0.187314 0.265356 0.408451 0.702866 1.425998 4.433969
2025-03-23 0.133354 0.184215 0.265161 0.418065 0.747766 1.626554 6.085051
2025-03-30 0.126256 0.175710 0.255433 0.408859 0.749774 1.709270 7.342667
2025-04-06 0.118314 0.165423 0.241982 0.391073 0.728816 1.714146 8.130614
2025-04-13 0.111291 0.156257 0.229868 0.374767 0.708895 1.717060 8.994942
2025-04-20 0.108508 0.153808 0.229215 0.381391 0.747268 1.945389 13.381486
2025-04-27 0.107712 0.154547 0.234200 0.400253 0.822534 2.375879 26.662002
2025-05-04 0.104550 0.151122 0.231371 0.402080 0.852005 2.641886 45.733308
2025-05-11 0.100319 0.145658 0.224411 0.394034 0.851230 2.765061 68.066550
2025-05-18 0.097316 0.142143 0.220840 0.393201 0.872206 3.026927 142.864202
2025-05-25 0.093760 0.137501 0.214851 0.386213 0.872659 3.177116 290.421643
2025-06-01 0.090357 0.132979 0.208829 0.378572 0.869642 3.309184 743.271980